Thursday, September 2, 2010

Some more talk about the weather

My rain gauge showed 1.6 inches from yesterday's rain. We sure needed it. Last night at prayer meeting, we thanked the Lord for it.

On a related weather topic, St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports "Hot nights let summer creep into the record books":

So how does a so-so summer sneak into the books?
"Persistence," said Ben Miller, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service office in Weldon Spring. "The days were continually warm without much of a break. And while we don't usually notice the nighttime lows, they stayed way up there."
As in 72.6 degrees, more than four degrees warmer than the long-term average for an overnight summer low here.
Miller said nights were warm because of steadily high levels of moisture in the air, retaining daytime heat. Meteorologists measure that by "dew point," a big part of that ever-unpopular humidity.

The Columbia newspaper reports the Old Farmers Almanac is predicting rough winter ahead for Missouri, but Columbia is College Town USA, so there's always an expert to find, and the paper found a professor who pooh-poohs predictions by the Old Farmers Almanac and says long-range predictions like that are impossible to make.

The coming winter is forecast to bring extreme storms. Sandi Duncan,
managing editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said that Missouri will suffer a lot of
cold.
"It’s definitely cold," Duncan said. "Very snowy to average snowy. It’s
going to be a very rough winter. Good chance for a lot of snow."
Duncan, looking seven months ahead, said Missourians might want an escape plan for March 24-27, which the almanac predicts will be brutal, even though it comes after the spring equinox. Spring break for MU and Columbia Public Schools begins March
26.
"If they want to escape the winter weather you might want to take
vacation to the south," Duncan said. "Major snow will be evolving. The month is
going to end unseasonably cold.”
The Farmers' Almanac produces week-by-week weather predictions for each region of the United States. Missouri is part of the North Central Region, along with Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota and Wyoming.
Although the almanac publishers purport that predicting weather to the week is possible, MU atmospheric science professor Anthony Lupo disagrees.
“That kind of thing you cannot predict,” Lupo said. “If they hit it, it’s coincidental. They’ve done that kind of thing for years where they try to give you an idea a year in advance what that week will be like. That can’t be done.”



Well, we'll see. We here at The Ozarks Almanac have long trusted the predictions of The Old Farmers Almanac, which we've discovered to be pretty close each year. The weatherman on TV, who relies on the atmospheric "scientists" doesn't seem to be near as accurate to us.

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